Shared market intelligence

Market · ASTS

Public pages auto-refresh from shared cached market intelligence and never expose personal portfolio data.
Market Regime
Per 5 min 20:58 - 22/04/2026
Unknown
Confidence: low
Signal Alignment
Per 2-5 min 19:13 - 22/04/2026
Conflicted
Signals are conflicted across major categories.
Setup Type
Per 5 min Every 5 minutes during market hours
Breakout Watch
Quality score: 4/10
Short Squeeze
Mixed cadence 20:58 - 22/04/2026
Squeeze Building
Score: 8.0/10 · High
Market Control
Per 5 min 20:58 - 22/04/2026
Mixed
Confidence: Low · Freshness: Stale
Trade Context
The setup currently looks better for holding or selling premium than for chasing fresh long premium.
Best fit: covered calls, premium selling
Move Explanation
No material ASTS move needs explanation right now.
Unclear · Low · 1.99%
ASTS has not moved enough to support a strong causal explanation. Confidence is low, so this should be treated as a provisional read rather than a hard conclusion.

Why Did ASTS Move?

ClassificationUnclear
ConfidenceLow
Move1.99%
WindowIntraday
ASTS has not moved enough to support a strong causal explanation. Confidence is low, so this should be treated as a provisional read rather than a hard conclusion.

Supporting Comparisons

  • ASTS +1.99%
  • ASTS event state: Launch status appears to be hold.
  • Sector context: FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States
  • Macro context: Macro looks secondary right now; company-specific catalysts and setup structure matter more.

Why This Read

  • ASTS move is 1.99% which is below the 2.5% explanation threshold.
  • 2026-04-22T11:30:00+00:00: FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States
  • 2026-04-19T18:02:00+00:00: AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle

Event / Launch Status

Event-driven Every 3-5 minutes or when launch/news changes 20:58 - 22/04/2026
StatusHold
Expected date2026-04-19
Previous date2026-04-19
ChangeNo Change
ConfidenceMedium
Launch status appears to be hold.
Matched signal: AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ("AST SpaceMobile") (NASDAQ: ASTS), the com...

Recent Event Changes

  • No Change: Launch status appears to be hold. Matched signal: "AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle AST SpaceMobile, Inc. ("AST SpaceMobile") (NASDAQ: ASTS), the com..."

Buyer vs Seller Control

Per 5 min Recomputed after setup refresh
BiasMixed
ConfidenceLow
FreshnessStale
Last updated20:58 - 22/04/2026
Control looks mixed because buyers and sellers each have support from different parts of the setup, while low borrow pressure keeps shorts relatively comfortable. Data freshness is mixed, with stale inputs in options, short_interest, borrow.

Signal Contributions

  • Price: neutral - Price structure is not giving a clean directional edge.
  • Options: bullish - Options positioning is call-skewed and supports buyers.
  • Short Interest: neutral - Short positioning is not materially shifting control.
  • Borrow: comfortable - Borrow costs are low, so shorts are not under much financing pressure.
  • Catalyst: bullish - A high-impact catalyst is active and supports buyers.
  • Macro: supportive - Macro context is supportive for speculative growth exposure.
  • Sentiment: bullish - Sentiment and curated commentary lean supportive.

Data Freshness

Control confidence should be read in the context of freshness.
PriceNear Real Time
OptionsStale
Short InterestStale
BorrowStale
CatalystReal Time
MacroReal Time
SignalsRecent
Curated SignalsRecent
  • Price: source yfinance, updated 20:51 - 22/04/2026
  • Options: source barchart, updated 18:10 - 22/04/2026
  • Short Interest: source chartexchange, updated 17:12 - 22/04/2026
  • Borrow: source chartexchange, updated 17:12 - 22/04/2026
  • Catalyst: source catalyst_context, updated 20:58 - 22/04/2026
  • Macro: source macro_context, updated 20:58 - 22/04/2026
  • Signals: source signals_summary, updated 19:13 - 22/04/2026
  • Curated Signals: source curated_signals_summary, updated 19:13 - 22/04/2026

Short Squeeze Breakdown

Mixed cadence Borrow updates faster than reported short interest
StateSqueeze Building
Score8.0/10
ProbabilityHigh
Short interestExtreme / 30.64%
Borrow pressureLow / 0.55%
Price pressureNeutral
Catalyst pressureImmediate High Impact
Options pressureBullish
Squeeze conditions are building, but confirmation still depends on price follow-through and catalyst timing.
Borrow Rate · Periodic / near-real-time-ish
17:12 - 22/04/2026 · Borrow changes faster than short interest.
Short Interest · Delayed / reported
17:12 - 22/04/2026 · Reported short interest can lag materially.

Squeeze Risks and Triggers

Key Drivers

  • short interest elevated
  • call skew present
  • high-impact catalyst active

Risks

  • borrow rate low, shorts not under heavy financing pressure
  • no confirmed breakout yet

What Would Trigger It

  • A clean breakout through overhead resistance would strengthen the setup.
  • A materially higher borrow rate would signal tighter short supply.

Setup Summary

Per 5 min 20:58 - 22/04/2026
HeadlineBreakout Watch with conflicted signals.
Confidencelow
Crowding risklow
Main riskborrow rate low, shorts not under heavy financing pressure
Key triggerA clean breakout through overhead resistance would strengthen the setup.
InvalidationLoss of price structure and options confirmation would weaken the setup.
ASTS currently reads as a breakout watch setup in a unknown regime. The setup is stronger when price structure, options positioning, short-interest backdrop, and catalyst context stay aligned.

What Matters Now

  • short interest elevated
  • call skew present
  • confirmed company catalyst active
  • Bullish categories (options_positioning, short_interest_setup, sentiment) conflict with bearish categories (volatility).
  • Mixed reads remain in catalysts, curated_expert_signals.

Signal Scorecards

Price StructureNeutral / Low
VolatilityBearish / Medium
Options PositioningBullish / Medium
Short Interest SetupBullish / Medium
CatalystsMixed / Low
SentimentBullish / Medium
Curated Expert SignalsMixed / Low
  • Price Structure: No strong read.
  • Volatility: Implied volatility is elevated at 109.14%.
  • Options Positioning: Put/call open-interest ratio is supportive at 0.46.
  • Short Interest Setup: Short interest remains elevated at 30.64% of float.
  • Catalysts: Recent filings provide confirmed context.
  • Sentiment: General signal summary leans bullish.
  • Curated Expert Signals: Divergent views on short interest impact vs FCC approval catalysts

Catalyst Context

Event-driven 20:58 - 22/04/2026
ASTS-specific catalysts and confirmed company news
2026-04-22T11:30:00+00:00: FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States
Confirmed company catalysts remain active.

This Week

  • FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States
  • AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle
  • AST SpaceMobile to Provide Quarterly Business Update on March 2, 2026
  • AST SpaceMobile Announces Pricing of Private Offering of $1.0 Billion of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2036
  • AST SpaceMobile Announces Proposed Repurchases of up to $300.0 Million Convertible Senior Notes to be Funded By Concurrent Registered Direct Offerings of Class A Common Stock
  • AST SpaceMobile Announces Participation in UBS Global Media and Communications Conference
  • AST SpaceMobile to Provide Quarterly Business Update on November 10, 2025
  • AST SpaceMobile Announces Pricing of Private Offering of $1.0 Billion of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2036

High Impact

  • 2026-04-22T11:30:00+00:00: FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States
  • 2026-04-19T18:02:00+00:00: AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle
  • 2026-04-16T20:40:00+00:00: AST SpaceMobile Announces BlueBird 7 Launch Date of Sunday, April 19, Invites Retail Investors to Attend Live Launch Event at Cape Canaveral
  • 2026-03-03T23:22:00+00:00: TELUS and AST SpaceMobile Partner to Bring Space-Based Cellular Broadband Connectivity to Every Corner of Canada
  • 2026-03-02T21:32:00+00:00: AST SpaceMobile Provides Business Update and Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results
  • 2026-02-23T16:20:00+00:00: AST SpaceMobile Awarded $30 Million Prime Contract by U.S. Space Development Agency for HALO Europa Program

Business Wire

  • FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States
  • AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle
  • AST SpaceMobile Announces BlueBird 7 Launch Date of Sunday, April 19, Invites Retail Investors to Attend Live Launch Event at Cape Canaveral
  • TELUS and AST SpaceMobile Partner to Bring Space-Based Cellular Broadband Connectivity to Every Corner of Canada
  • AST SpaceMobile Provides Business Update and Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results

Macro Context

Hourly / periodic 20:58 - 22/04/2026
Filtered macro and sector context, with noise removed
Macro regimeRisk On
Impact on ASTSSupportive
How the Fed impacts stocks, bonds, crypto and other investments - Bankrate
Macro looks secondary right now; company-specific catalysts and setup structure matter more.
  • Risk appetite and lower-rate narratives can support speculative growth names.
  • Satellite/telecom headlines can matter if they shift sector appetite or spectrum expectations.

Filtered Headlines

  • How the Fed impacts stocks, bonds, crypto and other investments - Bankrate
  • When the Fed lowers rates, how does it impact stocks? - Yahoo Finance
  • What the Fed's Expected 2026 Rate Cuts Could Mean for the Stock Market - The Motley Fool
  • 7 Types of Stocks to Buy if Interest Rates Decline - U.S. News Money
  • Trump Expects An Economic Miracle From The New Fed Chair - Investopedia

FCC Search Context

ECFS filings, docs.fcc.gov bureau decisions, and broader FCC site search
DA 25-532 Released: June 20, 2025 SPACE BUREAU ACCEPTS FOR FILING AST & SCIENCE, LLC MODIFICATION APPLICATION SB Docket No. - docs.fcc.gov
ASTS has FCC background context, but nothing clearly decisive is active.

Background FCC Items

  • DA 25-532 Released: June 20, 2025 SPACE BUREAU ACCEPTS FOR FILING AST & SCIENCE, LLC MODIFICATION APPLICATION SB Docket No. - docs.fcc.gov
  • AST & Science, AT&T, Verizon, and FirstNet Applications Public Notice - Federal Communications Commission (.gov)
  • AST & Science, LLC File No. 0909-EX-CN-2025 - apps.fcc.gov
  • 1 Before the FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20554 Application of: AST & Science, LLC Application for - apps.fcc.gov
  • PUBLIC NOTICE - docs.fcc.gov

Regulatory Context

ASTS-specific FCC and sector-relevant regulatory developments
DA 25-532 Released: June 20, 2025 SPACE BUREAU ACCEPTS FOR FILING AST & SCIENCE, LLC MODIFICATION APPLICATION SB Docket No. - docs.fcc.gov
ASTS has FCC background context, but nothing clearly decisive is active.

High Impact

  • No high-impact regulatory items are currently active.

FCC / Regulatory Items

  • DA 25-532 Released: June 20, 2025 SPACE BUREAU ACCEPTS FOR FILING AST & SCIENCE, LLC MODIFICATION APPLICATION SB Docket No. - docs.fcc.gov
  • AST & Science, AT&T, Verizon, and FirstNet Applications Public Notice - Federal Communications Commission (.gov)
  • AST & Science, LLC File No. 0909-EX-CN-2025 - apps.fcc.gov
  • 1 Before the FEDERAL COMMUNICATIONS COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20554 Application of: AST & Science, LLC Application for - apps.fcc.gov
  • PUBLIC NOTICE - docs.fcc.gov

Sector Context

Competitor and adjacent-sector developments scored for ASTS impact
FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States
A small number of sector or regulatory developments look material enough to influence the ASTS setup.

Impact on ASTS

  • Verizon: FCC Grants AST SpaceMobile Commercial Authority to Deliver Direct-to-Device Cellular Broadband from Space Advancing Nationwide, Resilient Cellular Broadband Connectivity in the United States (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Addresses Today's Orbital Launch of BlueBird 7 on the New Glenn Launch Vehicle (high, supportive)
  • AT&T: AST SpaceMobile Announces BlueBird 7 Launch Date of Sunday, April 19, Invites Retail Investors to Attend Live Launch Event at Cape Canaveral (high, supportive)
  • Sector: TELUS and AST SpaceMobile Partner to Bring Space-Based Cellular Broadband Connectivity to Every Corner of Canada (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Provides Business Update and Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Results (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Awarded $30 Million Prime Contract by U.S. Space Development Agency for HALO Europa Program (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile to Provide Quarterly Business Update on March 2, 2026 (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Announces Pricing of Private Offering of $1.0 Billion of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2036 (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Prices Repurchases of Convertible Senior Notes to be Funded By Concurrent Registered Direct Offerings of Class A Common Stock (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Announces Proposed Private Offering of $1.0 Billion of Convertible Senior Notes Due 2036 (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Announces Proposed Repurchases of up to $300.0 Million Convertible Senior Notes to be Funded By Concurrent Registered Direct Offerings of Class A Common Stock (high, supportive)
  • Sector: AST SpaceMobile Successfully Completes Unfolding of BlueBird 6, the Largest Commercial Communications Array Antenna Ever Deployed in Low Earth Orbit (high, supportive)

Alignment and Conflict

Signals are conflicted across major categories.

Key Alignments

  • options_positioning leans bullish.
  • short_interest_setup leans bullish.
  • sentiment leans bullish.
  • volatility leans bearish.

Key Conflicts

  • Bullish categories (options_positioning, short_interest_setup, sentiment) conflict with bearish categories (volatility).
  • Mixed reads remain in catalysts, curated_expert_signals.

Trade Context

This is contextual guidance, not automated trade advice.

Favourable For

  • covered calls
  • premium selling

Less Attractive For

  • chasing calls
Short interest
30.64%
Borrow: 0.55%
Options bias
call-leaning
Max pain: N/A
Implied volatility
109.14%
Catalyst warnings
1

What this means

Rules-based explanation layer built from the live market files.
Short interest
Short interest is very high at about 30.6% of float.
That creates real squeeze potential if price starts moving hard. Borrowing shares is still cheap at about 0.55%, so there is no clear forced squeeze pressure yet.
This looks like potential squeeze fuel, not an active squeeze setup.
Options
Options positioning is call-leaning with a put/call open-interest ratio near 0.46.
That usually means traders are leaning more bullish than bearish in the options market.
The options market is pricing an expected move of about $4.90, so swings can stay wide even without a clean directional signal.
Volatility
Implied volatility is high at roughly 109.1%.
Options are expensive in absolute terms, so you are paying up for convexity.
That generally helps premium sellers more than premium buyers unless you expect a very large move. The board is pricing about a $4.90 move, so size trades around wider-than-normal swings.
Catalysts
There are no obvious scheduled catalysts, but recent filing activity still matters.
The name can still move on financing, disclosure, or narrative changes even without a calendar event.
Main risk right now: Recent 8-K activity can shift narrative quickly; verify the actual filing before trading around headlines.
Key takeaway: The setup is mixed right now, so confirmation matters more than conviction.
Combined view
Short interest is very high at about 30.6% of float. Options positioning is call-leaning with a put/call open-interest ratio near 0.46. Implied volatility is high at roughly 109.1%. There are no obvious scheduled catalysts, but recent filing activity still matters.
Overall biasneutral
Confidencelow
What to watch
  • Borrow rate spikes or a sudden increase in short pressure.
  • A clean price breakout that forces positioning to adjust.
  • Any fresh filing, financing update, launch milestone, or other catalyst event.
  • Whether implied volatility cools enough to make long premium more attractive.

Short interest and borrow

Source: Short interest: chartexchange | Borrow: chartexchange
Short % of float30.64%
Shares short46,229,296
Borrow rate0.55%
Trendflat
Updated17:12 - 22/04/2026

Options structure

Source: max pain: manual | walls and oi: manual | options overview: barchart | unusual flow summary: barchart_inferred
Biascall-leaning
Put/call OI ratio0.46
Put/call volume ratio0.29
Max painN/A
Expected move$4.90
Total open interest994,665
Call-leaning because the put/call open-interest ratio is 0.46, which means call open interest outweighs put open interest.
Open interest is call-skewed with a put/call OI ratio of 0.46. Implied volatility is running around 109.14%.

Catalysts and filings

Source: press releases: manual | events: manual | filings: sec_submissions | analyst changes: manual
  • 2026-04-20: 8-K (form8-k.htm)
  • 2026-03-02: 10-K (asts-20251231.htm)
  • 2026-03-02: 8-K (asts-20260302.htm)
  • 2026-02-23: 8-K (form8-k.htm)
  • 2026-02-20: 8-K (form8-k.htm)
  • 2026-02-17: 8-K (form8-k.htm)
  • Recent 8-K activity can shift narrative quickly; verify the actual filing before trading around headlines.

Major expiries

No major expiry data available.

Warnings

  • Detailed options-wall data is temporarily unavailable from the upstream source, so wall levels are being estimated from fallback data.
  • Using manual max pain because live options summary was unavailable.
  • Using manual major OI strikes because live options summary was unavailable.
  • Call wall is using a fallback estimate because a cleaner live options summary was unavailable.
  • Put wall is using a fallback estimate because a cleaner live options summary was unavailable.
  • Press release entries were not found on the AST investor page.
  • Upcoming event entries were not found on the AST investor page.
  • Using manual event lists because live investor-relations event data was unavailable.